July: Easing External Price Pressure

Overview of Inflation in Kazakhstan

17 August 2026, 15:16

• Annual inflation slowed from 10.3% in June to 10.2% in July, driven by food prices.

• Food posted the smallest monthly price growth among the three segments on seasonal cheapening of vegetables and on meat. 

• Non-food monthly inflation eased slightly despite continued growth in gasoline prices. 

• Paid services accelerated, largely on certain housing services and airfares.

• In July, inflation in Russia held steady, while China's annual inflation again fell below 1%. 

• The FX channel sharply reduced pressure in July on the back of a strong appreciation of the tenge against all major currencies.

• We raise our end-2026 inflation forecast from 10% to 10.1% and lower our end-2027 forecast from 8% to 7.9%.

More details in PDF-review.

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