External background.
The S&P 500 closed slightly down 0.1% on Friday, but ended its third week of growth in a row. Shares of semiconductor manufacturers were in the red on the index map, while other sectors showed a slight increase. The XLE energy sector ETF increased by 2%. At the center of the economic news was the benchmark PCE, which slowed more than expected in August to 0.1%, underscoring the cooling of the economy and reinforcing expectations that the Fed is on track to further cut rates in the coming months. Consumer spending also slowed more strongly than consensus, as did personal income growth. On Friday, St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said he favored a "gradual" rate cut after a significant cut last week. At the next meeting, traders expect a decrease of 0.25%, while economists see the achievement of the 2% inflation target in 2025. The key driver of the markets this week will be employment data on Friday, which will provide additional clues about the state of the labor market. In Europe, the Stoxx 600 rose by half a percent and thus reached historical highs, a little later than the German DAX. The leading German index itself rose by 1.2% at once. Inflation in France and Spain fell below 2%, which was lower than expected, which spurred bets that the ECB would accelerate easing. Since this morning, the Hong Kong Hang Seng has been growing by 3%, while the mainland CSI 300 is adding an incredible 8.7% at the moment and a little more than 25% in the last 5 sessions. Recall that last week, almost every day, the Chinese government made announcements about ambitious plans to stimulate the economy. The purchasing managers' Index (PMI) in China's manufacturing industry rose to a five-month high of 49.8 points in September, compared with a six-month low of 49.1 points a month earlier. Oil is trading at $72.5 per barrel of Brent in the morning.
Bonds.
The yield on 10-year US bonds decreased slightly and amounted to 3.75%.
The KASE index.
On Friday, the index's quotes fell by 0.4%. In general, the local picture resembles a lateral consolidation. In this case, the nearest important support will be at 5,150 points.
Index shares.
Kaspi shares were among the leaders of the decline with a result of almost 3%. At the same time, the price difference between the exchanges is still a considerable 14%. The largest growth was in the GDR of Halyk Bank, but this again did not change the technical picture of the securities. Kazatomprom has gone deep into its side channel. Kaztransoil shares increased by 0.5% and today, since the opening of KASE, they are growing by another 1.3%. Thus, the securities begin to test the resistance level at around 830 tenge.
Currency.
The dollar on Friday showed a rebound from its 50-day moving average, which is why it rose to 481.3 tenge today.