Двухнедельный обзор фондовых рынков №317. «Медвежий» капкан Трампа

S&P 500 from September 29 to October 5, 2026

S&P 500

29.09.2026 — 7,670

  • Carnival's Q3 results beat expectations, with EPS at $1.43 and revenue reaching a record $8.44bn. Improved profitability and cost containment more than offset a 36% rise in fuel costs.

30.09.2026 — 7,651

  • Micron's Q4 results and guidance beat expectations on stronger memory pricing. The company expects the supply deficit to deepen in 2027–28, although capacity expansion is driving higher costs.
  • August core PCE inflation came in at 0.245% MoM vs. 0.3% expected. Following prior-period revisions, the YoY rate eased to 3.0%, tempering concerns around underlying price pressures.

01.10.2026 — 7,666

  • Nike reported a 4.3% YoY decline in quarterly revenue to $11.21bn, below expectations. Weak FY guidance triggered an ~8% selloff, taking shares to their lowest level since 2013.

02.10.2026 — 7,722

  • U.S. payrolls increased by just 29k vs. 90k expected, while unemployment came in at 4.18%. A downward 66k revision to prior data added to evidence of a weakening labor market.

05.10.2026 — 7,773

  • The U.S. ISM Services PMI fell to 54.9 in September from 55.4. The reading remains above the 50 threshold, signaling continued expansion in the sector despite a slowdown in activity.

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S&P Global ratings – “BB-”, outlook “Positive”.

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